Graph 1: FOMC Target Range: Upper and Lower Limits
|
Graph 2: FOMC Target Range: Upper and Lower Limits + Federal Funds Rate (FFR)
|
Inside the FOMC highlighted statement below and by touching the lines on the two graphs to the right, you will
notice that the FOMC sets a target range lower limit and upper limit shown in Graph #1 which is a range in
which it wants the Federal Funds Rate to fall in between shown in Graph #2.
Since December 16, 2008 the spread between the lower limit and the upper limit has been .25 percent or 25 basis points.
This is the complete graph of both the FOMC target range lower limit and
upper limits, along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR -- the policy rate), and
the three administered rates of Primary Credit Rate (PCR), a ceiling rate;
Interest on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB), a floor rate; and Interest on
Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (ON RRP).
A couple of things to notice.
1) The Primary Credit Rate is currently at the FOMC target range upper limit.
2) The Interest on Overnight Reverse Repurchase (ON RRP) lies just above the
FOMC target range lower limit.
2023 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Committee Members
• Jerome H. Powell, Board of Governors, Chair
• Michael S. Barr, Board of Governors
• Michelle W. Bowman, Board of Governors
• Lael Brainard, Board of Governors (resigned February 14)
• Lisa D. Cook, Board of Governors
• Philip N. Jefferson, Board of Governors
• Christopher J. Waller, Board of Governors
• John C. Williams, New York, Vice Chair
• James Bullard, St. Louis
• Susan M. Collins, Boston
• Esther L. George, Kansas City
• Loretta J. Mester, Cleveland
2023 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FRB)
• Jerome H. Powell, Board of Governors, Chair
• Michael S. Barr, Board of Governors, Vice Chair for Supervision
• Michelle W. Bowman, Board of Governors
• Lael Brainard, Board of Governors, Vice Chair
(resigned on February 14, 2023 to become the Director of the
National Economic Council at the White House)
• Lisa D. Cook, Board of Governors
• Philip N. Jefferson, Board of Governors
• Christopher J. Waller, Board of Governors
The maximum number of members who sit on the Federal Open
Market Committee (FOMC) consists of 12 members. Notice above
that the FOMC had this maximum number as of February 13:
7 members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System as of February 13, 2023.
1 President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York always
sits on the FOMC
4 of the remaining eleven Reserve Bank presidents, who serve
one-year terms on a rotating basis. (See district bank map below)
The maximum number of governors who sit on The Board of
Governors of the Federal Reserve is 7 governors.
Notice above as of February 13, 2023 the Board had the maximum
number.
The members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System are nominated by the President and confirmed
by the Senate. A full term is 14 years.
The Chair and the Vice Chair of the Board, as well as the Vice
Chair for Supervision, are nominated by the President from among
the members and are confirmed by the Senate. They serve a term
of four years.
The interest rate on reserve balances (IORB rate) and the primary
credit rate (formerly known as the discount rate) are determined
by the FRB). IORB is the primary tool for the Federal Reserve's
monetary policy.
The Board of Governors meet every other Monday.
|
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) that meets 8 times each year. Remember this Committee also includes the members of the Board of Governors.
|
The Federal Reserve is an independent government agency. Think of monetary policy as an
agency or a business that is constructing an Economic Highway throughout the economy to set it
on a course to reach a stated goal of 2% inflation.
Let's say:
the direction of the Economic Highway is the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) known as the policy rate.
the Board Members are the members of The Board of Governors
the Group of 5 are the New York Bank President and four Federal Reserve Bank Presidents
the FOMC meeting is comprised of the Board Members + Group of 5
the Advisors are the remaining 7 Federal Reserve Bank Presidents who attend the FOMC meeting
At the FOMC meeting, the first order of business is to decide the direction of the Economic
Highway (the Federal Funds Rate).
Inside the FOMC meetings, the Board Members meet with the Group of 5 and together they
decide the direction of the Economic Highway. They set a target range lower limit and upper limit
so as to place a width in which the direction the Economic Highway (FFR) should fall in between.
Looking at the photo to the left, notice the white lines shown on both sides of the road are
symbolic of the lower and upper limit and the double yellow lines roughly represents the direction
of the FFR.
The second order of business is to use administered rates to help ensure an orderly flow of
operations in creating the direction of this Economic Highway in order to stay between these lines.
The administered rates are:
1) Interest on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB), the primary tool of monetary policy
(administered by the Board Members)
2) Interest on Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement administered by the Board Members
and Group of 5 at the FOMC meeting. (NOT REQUIRED TO KNOW INSIDE AN ON-LEVEL
OR AN AP MACROECONOMICS COURSE).
3) Primary Credit Rate (formerly called the Discount Rate administered by the Board Members
which approves the request to establish this rate submitted by the Advisors District Banks'
Boards.)

1) The FOMC sets the target range lower limit
and upper limit for the Federal Funds Rate
(FFR), a policy rate.
2) With this information, the Board of
Governors sets an administered rate,
Interest on Reserve Balances (IOR or
IORB), the primary tool of monetary
policy to guide the FFR in a similar
direction. The IOR or IORB is a
"floor rate."
2) The FOMC directs the New York Desk to
maintain the Federal Funds Rate (FFR)
within the target range lower limit and
upper limit set by the committee.
2) The FOMC directs the New York Desk to
conduct Overnight Reverse Repurchase
Agreement operations at an offering
rate entitled, "Interest on Overnight
Repurchase Agreement" (ON RRP).
The interest on ON RRP is a "sub-floor
rate."
NOTE: HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS
DO NOT HAVE TO KNOW THIS RATE,
BUT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE FOR THEM
TO UNDERSTAND. ON THE SLIDE SHOW
LOCATED TO THE RIGHT, CLICK ON
THE STEPS AND THEN CLICK THE
NEXT BUTTONS AND LEARN
ABOUT IORB AND INTEREST ON ON RRP.
3) The remaining Presidents of the 12 District
Bank members who are not sitting on
the FOMC but are in attendance during
the FOMC meeting give the Board of
Governors the request from their district
boards on the establishment of the Primary
Credit Rate (formerly know as the Discount
Rate). Since March 2020, the PCR or DR is
a "ceiling rate" has been identical to the
target range upper limit set by the FOMC.
3) With this information, the Board of
Governors sets an administered rate,
Primary Credit Rate (PCR or DR). The
PCR or DR is a "ceiling rate."
An Analogy on How the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) directs Monetary Policy
|
of Monetary Policy
Looking at this in Reality -- Observe the Two Documents Below from the FOMC Meeting on July 26, 2023
|
Before reading the FOMC Press Release below, notice the official written narrative is highlighted in yellow that describes the implementation of the administered rates
and highlighted in red which describes the lower and upper limits of the target range for the policy rate, the Federal Funds Rate (FFR).
The notes down the left margin that are inserted independently of the Press Release are place there for students knowledge of what they should know about
Ample Reserves.
Document #1: Federal Reserve FOMC Statement
|
Document #2: Press Release -- Decisions Regarding Monetary Policy Implementation
|
A Condensed Version of Understanding the FOMC Statement and Press Release
|
Steps 1, 2, and 3 of the FOMC Meetings
Using FRED Graphs to Explain the FOMC Statement and Press Release
|
A lesson in economics without a graph is like a day without sunshine. Let's take the information from the FOMC Statement and Press Release
above and place this information to the right of FRED graphs that create a graphical representation of the narrative. Use your cursor or finger and
touch the lines on the FRED graphs to get current data located on the graph.
In July of 2023, the target range lower limit and upper limit for the
Federal Funds Rate (FFR) were raised to 5.25% to 5.5% respectively.
In June of 2023, the target range lower limit and upper limit for the
Federal Funds Rate (FFR) stood at 5.0% to 5.25% respectively.
This is an increase of .25% or 25 basis points for both the lower limit
and upper limit.
The primary tool of monetary policy is paying Interest paid on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB).
In July of 2023, the Board of Governors voted unanimously to raise the Interest paid on
Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB) to 5.4%.
In June of 2023, the Interest paid on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB) stood at 5.15%.
This is an increase of .25% or 25 basis points.
Paying interest on reserve balances (IOR or IORB) is the primary tool of monetary policy
because it allows the FED to place a floor on the Federal Funds Rate (FFR), since
depository institutions have little incentive to lend in the overnight interbank Federal
Funds market at rates below the interest rate on reserve balances (IOR or IORB).
When the FED raises the administered Interest paid on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB),
this pulls the Federal Funds Rate up.
In July of 2023, the FOMC conducted Overnight Repurchase
Agreement Operations (ON RRP) at an offering interest rate
of 5.3%, up from 5.05% in June of 2023.
Interest on Overnight Repurchase Agreement is a "sub-floor"
interest rate.
NOTE: HIGH SCHOOL ECONOMICS STUDENTS DO NOT
HAVE TO KNOW THIS ADMINISTRATED RATE, EVEN THOUGH
IN THE LESSON BELOW ONE CAN SEE THAT THIS CONCEPT
IS NOT TOO DIFFICULT TO UNDERSTAND THE BASICS OF
THIS RATE.
The remaining Presidents of the 12 District Bank members
who are not sitting on the FOMC but are in attendance during
the FOMC meeting give the Board of Governors the request
from their district boards on the establishment of the Primary
Credit Rate (formerly know as the Discount Rate). The Board
of Governors approved a .25% point increase or 25 basis
points.
Since March 16, 2020, the PCR or DR is a "ceiling rate" has
been identical to the target range upper limit set by the FOMC.
12 Federal Reserve District Bank Presidents
The New York Federal Reserve District Bank President and
4 Federal Reserve District Bank Presidents sit on the
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
The remaining 7 Federal Reserve Bank Presidents attend
the FOMC meetings and bring their district board reports
to help advise The Board of Governors on the
Primary Credit Rate (formerly entitled the Discount Rate)
that should be administered. The Board of Governors
then makes the final decision on this rate.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Board of Governors, and the 12 District Bank Presidents
|
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The information below is from the FOMC Statement (Step 1) and the Press Release (Steps 2 and 3) shown in the two documents in Lesson 2 above.
DISCLAIMER: The following terms inside this website are all registered trademarks -- College Board®, AP®, FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Louis®. This website uses these terms inside this website that is not intended for commercial advantage or private monetary compensation.
These trademark entities are not affiliated with and do not endorse Steven Reff or Reffonomics.com.
Ample Reserves -- Challenges with The College Board Graph and the FED Graph
|
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Below is a discussion about The College Board Graph located below on the left and the two FED graphs located below on the right.
1) Notice the y axis is labeled Policy Rate.
1) Notice the y axis is labeled Federal Funds Rate.
2) Notice Interest on Reserve Balances (IOR
or IORB) is NOT shown on the graph, yet it is
the primary tool of monetary policy.
2) Notice the y axis has the three administered
rates, but does not have the policy rate (FFR)
labeled along the y axis. The label at the top
should be Interest Rates (both policy and
administered)
3) Notice the administered rate entitled IOER
(interest on excess reserves). As of July 2021,
interest on required reserves (RR) and interest on
excess reserves (ER) were replaced by a single
rate -- Interest on Reserve Balances (IOR or IORB),
the primary tool of monetary policy.
"Before the Financial Crisis of 2007-09,
the Fed implemented monetary policy
with limited reserves in the banking
system and relied on open market
operations as its key tool. Today, the
Fed implements monetary policy with
ample reserves and relies on one of its
administered rates. Interest on reserve
balances (IORB), with the associated
IORB rate, is the primary tool.."
--The FED's New Monetary Policy
Tools--
By looking at the two FED graphs
above and using your cursor or finger
on the FRED graph of bank reserves
to the right, notice the $15 billion with
limited or scarce reserves occurred
on July 2, 2008 and in the graph next
to it, the $1.6 trillion of ample reserves
takes place on June 1, 2011.
Ample Reserves -- A Better Graph that Solves the Challenges of the Graphs Above
|
The FED uses Contractionary Monetary Policy to Slow the Economy The FED uses Expansionary Monetary Policy to Speed Up the Economy
|
How Does Monetary Policy Affect Short-Term and Long-Term Interest Rates?
|
Notice on the two top graphs below the FED has been using contractionary monetary policy by raising the Interest on Reserve Balances
(IOR or IORB). On the two bottom graphs you can see because of the FED's action, short-term interest rates and long-term interest
rates in the economy have started to rise. An increase in short-term and long-term interest rates has a propensity to decrease
consumptiion and investment in the economy which causes a decrease in aggregate demand.
Short-term Interest Rates
Long-term Interest Rates
Credit Card Rates, 48-Month Auto Loan Rates, and Prime Rate
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate
Notice on the graph above, the portion that represents
the limited reserves is shorter and less pronounced as
it is shown on The College Board graph to the right.
The dashed line in the graph above is labeled correctly
as the PRC or DR, yet, the College Board graph on the
right does not label this dashed line.
The other change on the graph above is the spread
between the primary credit rate (PCR) and the interest
on reserve balances (IOR or IORB) has been 10 basis
points since July 29, 2021. Since the IOR or IORB
(which is NOT shown on the graph to the right) is only
slightly higher than the PR (policy rate) that is shown on
the graph, the current 10 basis-point spread is not
shown correctly.
In 2019 the Federal Reserve's Statement Regarding
Monetary Policy Implementation and Balance Sheet
Normalization stated "The Committee intends to
continue to implement monetary policy in a regime in
which an ample supply of reserves ensures the control
over the level of the federal funds rate and other
short-term interest rates is exercised primarily through
the setting of the Federal Reserve's administered rates,
and in which active management of the supply of
reserves is not required."
". . . the active management of the supply of reserves
is not required" which means required reserves (RR) and
excess reserves (ER) that used to be on commercial
banks' balance sheets no longer are relevant moving
forward in regards to monetary policy." This is why the
interactive Reffonomics graph above to the left has a
shorter and less pronounce section that represents
limited reserves.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Flow Charting Ample Reserves with an Ample Reserves Graph and ASAD Graph
|
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
When you open the links below, you will see a side-by-side interactive Ample Reserves Graph and an ASAD graph. Underneath these
graphs is an interactive flow chart. After playing with the graphs and flow chart, if students can take out a piece of paper and draw
these two graphs from scratch and explain what happens using a flow chart, they should be able to succeed on any questions regarding
Ample Reserves that is found on the May exam.
Interactive Lessons (Graphs and Flow Charting)
|
The Rules on How to Use the Reffonomics Baseball Game:
Interactive Lessons (Graphs and Flow Charting)
|
Reffonomics Baseball -- Ample Reserves Regime
|
The Reffonomics Baseball Game uses the Federal Reserve of St. Louis more complex graph, rather than The College Board Graph.
Contractionary Monetary Policy Flow Chart (Using The College Board graph with PCR or DR, IOR and FFR added to the graph)
Expansionary Monetary Policy Flow Chart (Using The College Board graph with PCR or DR, IOR, and FFR added to the graph)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
October 23, 2020
Without the knowledge received from reading the two articles (shown in the two links below) written by Jane Ihrig, Senior Advisor at the
Federal Reserve Board, and Scott Wolla, Economic Education Officer at Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, this website would never
have been created.
After reading the information on this website below regarding teaching ample reserves by using the FOMC Statement, the Press Release,
FRED graphs, and interactive graphs, come back here and open this link that has all of the lesson plans created by the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis Economics Education Program:
May 2022
Ample Reserves Lessons Using FOMC Meeting Statement and Press Release July 26, 2023 FOMC Meeting by Steven Reff
|
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Students must have an understanding of the three entities involved in setting the direction of monetary policy (FOMC, Board of Governors, and the
12 District Bank Presidents) before learning about the FED's Ample Reserves policies.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Know the vocabulary about Federal Reserve interest rates:
Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB or IOR-- the primary tool of monetary policy): The Federal Reserve pays interest to financial institutions
to hold their reserves with the Federal Reserve.
Interest on Overnight Repurchase Agreement: This is an agreement between the FED and its registered counter parties.
NOTE: Students are NOT required to know this information for the May exam, but this concept will be explained later on this website.
Effective Federal Funds Rate (FFR) -- This is the rate that depository institutions charge other depository institutions for borrowing money
overnight.
Primary Credit Rate (PCR formerly entitled the Discount Rate (DR)): This is a lending program that serves as the principal safety valve
for ensuring adequate liquidity in the banking system. If financial institutions need emergency funding, they can borrow from the
Federal Reserve at the Primary Credit Rate.
The Policy Rate:
The 3 Administered Rate:
Idea behind this interactive slide show comes from Jane Ihrig's and Scott Wolla's writings.
The Federal Reserve encourages depository institutions to turn to the discount window to help meet demands for credit from
households and businesses at this time. In support of this goal, the Board today announced that it will lower the primary credit rate
by 150 basis points to 0.25 percent, effective March 16, 2020. This reduction in the primary credit rate reflects both the 100 basis
point reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate and a 50 basis point narrowing in the primary credit rate relative to the
top of the target range. Narrowing the spread of the primary credit rate relative to the general level of overnight interest rates
should help encourage more active use of the window by depository institutions to meet unexpected funding needs. To further
enhance the role of the discount window as a tool for banks in addressing potential funding pressures, the Board also today
announced that depository institutions may borrow from the discount window for periods as long as 90 days, prepayable and
renewable by the borrower on a daily basis.
4) Notice The College Board graph and the FED graphs both shows limited reserves on one graph and compares those reserve with
ample reserves on the other graph. The College Board still requires students to know about limited reserves with a possible reason
being that not all countries' central banks have an ample reserves policy. The FED graphs compare limited reserves vs. ample
reserves to possibly describe a historical perspective moving from monetary policy where reserves were kept in commercial banks
as Required Reserves (RR) and Excess Reserves (ER).
An FEE.org Fireside Chat Lesson that Describes ALL the MAJOR Changes in Monetary Policy Using FRED graphs
Historical Changes in Monetary Policy Since 2003
|